How do I feel about each player's first posts? I think that's a good angle to parkour from.
Let's dig in dudes.first post
I don't like this post.
Verdict: 65% mafia
first...post?
Curious Cat doesn't even seem to be acknowledging the game here. I kind of like that, but I can't tell if they've even read their role from Web yet here. If we assume they have then...
Verdict: 70% town
first
Nothing stands out to me, could go either way for veteran Toaster.
Verdict: 50% town TBD
first, many words
So many words. Me like many words and effort.
Verdict: 60% town
first post
These seem like very silly questions for "No Fun Allowed" Lenglon to make.
Verdict: 60% mafia
Jim buttering me up
I want to say they're town here. I'm pretty good at soulreading Jim 90% of the time.
Verdict: 75.4% town
Side note: I kind of like Hector and Jim both just voting Lenglon over FoU's omega-god-awesome day inspect. I think it shows no fear at least.
first post
Helpful, I get a good impression at least.
Verdict: 66.6% town TBD
hats
So town it hurts, or at least, not mafia.
Verdict: 100% not mafia
Everybody else hasn't posted yet!
Moving on...
I'm pretty sure I'm town.
This is a pretty lukewarm reaction compared to the previous game you were town where I pegged you correctly as town (initially).
Toaster and Jim and ToonyMan: who are the players we should be trying to clear first? I was going to ask this to the more experienced players but there are quite a few of you so I guess those three seem to be a decent cross-section for this one…
Me, Toaster, you, Max.
Jim is probably okay. Don't really find anyone else dangerous.
Most likely is 10 town, 3 to 4 mafia, and 1 third party.
Aside from that, there could be multiple scumteams, a complete absence of mafia (and a lot of hostile third parties), three cult leaders...
Webadict is not afraid at all to mix things up.
The conventional pattern would suggest 10 town, 3-4 mafia, and 1-2 third parties.
Personally I'd bet web has mixed it up this time around, though, since the last few games have been more reasonable.
This does all sound reasonable, but I suspect your confidence in it.
I can't tell if you're confident in your read of Web as a moderator or know more than you should.
That means nothing. Whoever is in the lead early D1 rarely is eliminated. There'll be loads more wagons before the end of day, and (I see Toony is in this game so) probably a frantic mass switch around of votes in the last fifteen minutes. Someone like hector13 is more likely to get eliminated. Guess again.
Rude.
PPE:
That's all you've got? Is this TownieMan?
I'm trying man. I wanted to say something quickly before making an actual post.